In recent years, the demand for extra virgin olive oil has skyrocketed thanks to the fact that there is more awareness and information about real food (the realfood movement) and the average consumer wants to take care of himself and nourish himself with the best and most natural products from the earth. In addition, extra virgin olive oil is triumphing outside the Mediterranean coasts and now in Asia, North America or the Nordic countries they are replacing other refined oils or butter with Spanish EVOO.
So, with a panorama of high demand, offering less product than in previous harvests makes the market destabilize and prices rise, fearing that the next harvest will be even worse. The fact is that prices are also a good measure of the risk, the forecast or the future of a sector. Accumulating several consecutive years of low rainfall and a year with severe drought make forecasts negative and prices suffer in the face of uncertainty. We can compare this uncertainty to the sale of vehicles, which suffered a drop due to the shortage of batteries and microchips, also during the post-pandemic period.
In the end, a product as essential as EVOO has become a luxury product for many families. How essential it will be in our diet that it is in the group of products with reduced VAT, a measure approved by the government at the end of 2022 so that it would not be discarded for worse products. Yet we know it is not enough.
So, with a panorama of high demand, offering less product than in previous harvests makes the market destabilize and prices rise, fearing that the next harvest will be even worse. The fact is that prices are also a good measure of the risk, the forecast or the future of a sector. Accumulating several consecutive years of low rainfall and a year with severe drought make forecasts negative and prices suffer in the face of uncertainty. We can compare this uncertainty to the sale of vehicles, which suffered a drop due to the shortage of batteries and microchips, also during the post-pandemic period.
In the end, a product as essential as EVOO has become a luxury product for many families. How essential it will be in our diet that it is in the group of products with reduced VAT, a measure approved by the government at the end of 2022 so that it would not be discarded for worse products. Yet we know it is not enough.
Against this backdrop, we would love to be able to say that we have the capacity to meet all the demand with a booming supply and thus have the power to stabilize prices. But nature rules and is above any human will. Let us hope that the situation is temporary and that we will soon be able to offer the extra virgin olive oil production we have had in previous harvests, although we are aware that there is a change in the global climatic paradigm.